Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 4.492422e-01 0.598958 0.771358 0.981507 1.227732 1.504222 1.835269
2025-04-20 2.450137e-01 0.420015 0.653587 0.973753 1.387232 1.890173 2.534912
2025-04-27 1.324615e-01 0.302965 0.568810 0.975412 1.545806 2.284773 3.281384
2025-05-04 6.206968e-02 0.206173 0.475439 0.936348 1.635290 2.592637 3.940057
2025-05-11 2.519574e-02 0.137633 0.396742 0.893817 1.704194 2.869722 4.570111
2025-05-18 1.009237e-02 0.100073 0.355914 0.898320 1.836127 3.236800 5.335794
2025-05-25 2.479561e-03 0.066339 0.303948 0.867243 1.902471 3.507755 5.976505
2025-06-01 7.118263e-04 0.054345 0.298357 0.921417 2.110993 3.997813 6.944170
2025-06-08 3.577335e-05 0.038786 0.271755 0.924801 2.229588 4.354017 7.729447
2025-06-15 4.546862e-08 0.034103 0.278137 1.000436 2.480568 4.924993 8.845071
2025-06-22 NaN 0.027563 0.272554 1.046490 2.679477 5.420171 9.861360
2025-06-29 NaN 0.020420 0.257446 1.065625 2.827874 5.838510 10.772701
2025-07-06 NaN 0.012152 0.225285 1.035689 2.883367 6.114914 11.489831
2025-07-13 NaN 0.007986 0.209604 1.045747 3.017460 6.526092 12.424682
2025-07-20 NaN 0.005056 0.195711 1.057031 3.153787 6.945047 13.381411
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002230 0.168874 1.020618 3.186690 7.188130 14.069777
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000709 0.143201 0.977959 3.200095 7.395542 14.704936
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000258 0.132605 0.984041 3.319661 7.791488 15.646655
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000023 0.113751 0.951617 3.348305 8.025506 16.333002
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000008 0.117050 1.009662 3.589730 8.648439 17.657819
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.108179 1.013452 3.703351 9.042425 18.618052
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.116185 1.094009 4.004359 9.785264 20.157676
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.117192 1.142997 4.231509 10.397342 21.492216